Quality+Control+Problem+using+Bayes

Bayes Problem (Homework 1) (GWU EMSE-271)
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Bayesian Statistics (compared to "Classical")

Prior Probability (Answer Trying to Get) State of Nature (Won't be know?) Pr(A) (p = A1, A2, ... An Asking for the Posterior Problems, what is the probability of given B occurs.

B is in left column.

Table 1 = P(B|A) Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 > Posterior Probabilities

Interpretation: As N increases (more B events) ... indications are the tends to be?

Differences between the prior and posterior. As N increases, the posterior tends to the real value for A (of the sample lot). Priors are .333 on chart.


 * Sources:**
 * EMSE 271, Fall 2009
 * EMSE 280, Spring 2009